Opening mistakes

Where players go wrong in the Scotch Game

We looked at the games of 191 players in the Scotch Game and found the first move that left the opening book and made their position worse. On average that move cost 1.4 pawns.

The "book" is the set of established moves strong players have settled on. A pawn here is the engine's unit of advantage: 1.0 is about the value of one pawn. Data from Blackbox Chess reports, updated 2026-11-14.

1. Nf6 on move 5, playing Black

7 players made this move here, and it cost them 0.9 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Scotch Game: 4.Nxd4 Nxd4
1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.d4 exd4 4.Nxd4 Nxd4 5.Qxd4

2. c5 on move 5, playing Black

6 players made this move here, and it cost them 0.9 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Scotch Game: 4.Nxd4 Nxd4
1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.d4 exd4 4.Nxd4 Nxd4 5.Qxd4

3. Ng5 on move 4, playing White

4 players made this move here, and it cost them 1.9 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Scotch Game
1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.d4 exd4

4. Nc3 on move 6, playing White

3 players made this move here, and it cost them 4.2 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Scotch Game: 4.Nxd4 Bc5 5.Be3
1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.d4 exd4 4.Nxd4 Bc5 5.Be3 Nf6

5. Be2 on move 7, playing White

3 players made this move here, and it cost them 2.2 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.d4 exd4 4.Nxd4 Nxd4 5.Qxd4 Nf6 6.e5 Nh5

By rating

Player ratingPlayersAverage cost of the first mistake
Under 1000751.4 pawns
1000 to 1399561.4 pawns
1400 to 1799381.4 pawns
1800 and up251.1 pawns

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