Opening mistakes

Where players go wrong in the Center Game

We looked at the games of 79 players in the Center Game and found the first move that left the opening book and made their position worse. On average that move cost 1.3 pawns.

The "book" is the set of established moves strong players have settled on. A pawn here is the engine's unit of advantage: 1.0 is about the value of one pawn. Data from Blackbox Chess reports, updated 2026-11-14.

1. Nc6 on move 3, playing Black

4 players made this move here, and it cost them 0.9 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Center Game Accepted
1.e4 e5 2.d4 exd4 3.c3

2. Nc3 on move 3, playing White

3 players made this move here, and it cost them 0.7 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Center Game
1.e4 e5 2.d4 Qh4

3. Bc5 on move 4, playing Black

3 players made this move here, and it cost them 0.7 pawns on average. The board shows the position just before it.

Center Game: Normal Variation
1.e4 e5 2.d4 exd4 3.Qxd4 Nc6 4.Qd1

By rating

Player ratingPlayersAverage cost of the first mistake
Under 1000531.5 pawns
1000 to 1399101.1 pawns
1400 to 1799100.8 pawns

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Other openings